Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Nelson 47.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Goodrow
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Goodrow
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Goodrow
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
46.9% (915)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
57.4% (94)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
25.0% (28)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
44.3% (314)
48.9% (521)
Away
47.7% (279)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
46.8%
45.9%
P2
44.0%
48.0%
P3
47.1%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |