Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Nelson 51.9% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 56.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Goodrow
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
51.3% (1,002)
-1.3%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
58.7% (126)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
51.9% (81)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
40.0% (130)
52.5% (590)
Away
45.9% (122)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
48.8%
50.5%
P2
35.0%
54.4%
P3
44.8%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%