Barclay Goodrow vs Brock Nelson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Nelson 48.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 66.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Goodrow
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Goodrow
Nelson
Last 10: Goodrow 6-4 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
9
Goodrow
Nelson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
6
2
Goodrow
Nelson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Goodrow
Nelson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
47.9% (9,695)
+4.4%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
54.5% (1,132)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
43.8% (783)
+0.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
51.9% (2,109)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
50.5%
48.7%
P2
49.2%
48.5%
P3
51.3%
47.7%
OT
35.7%
45.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |