Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.0% vs Nelson 49.4% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 71.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Goodrow
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (165)
48.5% (586)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
51.9% (81)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (152)
57.5% (40)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
48.3% (149)
55.0% (362)
Away
51.4% (175)
43.5% (345)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
52.6%
49.3%
P2
43.2%
53.6%
P3
53.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
50.0%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%