Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Hayton
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Hayton
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Hayton
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
55.4% (771)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
57.1% (7)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
45.5% (165)
-2.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dowd
Home
48.8% (424)
58.2% (462)
Away
47.5% (438)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Hayton
Dowd
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
47.3%
50.5%
P3
44.1%
53.9%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |