Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 82.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayton
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
49.2% (778)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
58.3% (12)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
44.0% (234)
-1.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dowd
Home
47.4% (171)
46.3% (492)
Away
51.4% (247)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Hayton
Dowd
P1
49.6%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
49.0%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%