Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Sturm 59.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 57.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Lizotte
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Lizotte
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
60.6% (708)
-12.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
61.1% (18)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
56.4% (101)
-15.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sturm
Home
48.8% (170)
61.6% (451)
Away
45.1% (195)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Lizotte
Sturm
P1
44.4%
55.9%
P2
53.3%
58.9%
P3
43.0%
64.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |