Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 50.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Lizotte
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
62.1% (356)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
75.0% (4)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
38.7% (62)
-0.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sturm
Home
52.0% (198)
61.8% (191)
Away
49.7% (149)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Lizotte
Sturm
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
50.9%
57.9%
P3
52.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%