Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 58.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 61.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lizotte
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
54.6% (271)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
54.4% (90)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sturm
Home
44.2% (242)
53.0% (168)
Away
56.0% (234)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Lizotte
Sturm
P1
49.6%
58.2%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%