Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Roy 48.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 51.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lizotte
Roy
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Lizotte
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
49.5% (746)
+1.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.7% (75)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
42.7% (110)
+8.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
52.5% (326)
47.7% (491)
Away
50.5% (281)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
51.4%
51.1%
P2
56.3%
44.6%
P3
46.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |