Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lizotte
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lizotte
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Lizotte
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
51.9% (547)
+1.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.1% (37)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
53.3% (92)
-10.2%
On power play, Roy has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
44.2% (242)
54.0% (328)
Away
56.0% (234)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
46.9%
51.6%
P3
52.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |