Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Roy 48.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 72.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Lizotte
Roy
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Lizotte
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lizotte
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
48.3% (633)
+4.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
52.1% (48)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
43.7% (87)
-2.3%
On power play, Roy has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
51.4% (383)
50.8% (376)
Away
50.9% (424)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
51.0%
43.5%
P3
53.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |