Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.8%). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Roy 47.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 56.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
47.5% (617)
+0.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
39.6% (53)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.4% (97)
-5.1%
On power play, Roy has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
48.8% (170)
47.2% (398)
Away
45.1% (195)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
44.4%
48.6%
P2
53.3%
48.8%
P3
43.0%
43.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |