Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 26-22 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 59.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
22
(48 meetings)
26
22
Lizotte
Roy
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
7
Lizotte
Roy
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
5
Lizotte
Roy
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
11
10
Lizotte
Roy
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
49.5% (283)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
45.5% (477)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
48.0%
50.8%
P2
52.3%
46.3%
P3
50.5%
48.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |