Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Roy 47.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lizotte
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
48.6% (679)
+4.9%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
48.0% (50)
-48.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
34.7% (49)
+3.9%
On power play, Roy has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
52.0% (198)
49.3% (345)
Away
49.7% (149)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
50.9%
47.1%
P3
52.2%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |