Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 69.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Lizotte
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lizotte
Lafferty
Last 7: Lizotte 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Lizotte
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Lizotte
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
40.9% (232)
+10.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (1)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
40.0% (30)
+10.9%
On power play, Lafferty has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lafferty
Home
52.5% (326)
38.2% (123)
Away
50.5% (281)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Lizotte
Lafferty
P1
51.4%
41.6%
P2
56.3%
36.7%
P3
46.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |