Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 50.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lizotte
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Lizotte
Lafferty
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
3
4
Lizotte
Lafferty
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
5
Lizotte
Lafferty
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.0% (1,413)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
45.7% (46)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
43.5% (184)
-1.2%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lafferty
Home
49.5% (1,840)
47.3% (833)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Lizotte
Lafferty
P1
48.0%
49.4%
P2
52.3%
43.1%
P3
50.5%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |