Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.1%). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 60.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 67.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lizotte
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lizotte
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lizotte
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lizotte
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
52.2% (366)
+0.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
60.0% (15)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
46.2% (104)
-4.8%
On power play, Lafferty has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lafferty
Home
51.4% (383)
53.1% (258)
Away
50.9% (424)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Lizotte
Lafferty
P1
48.8%
52.5%
P2
51.0%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
51.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |