Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 85.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 60.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lizotte
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Lizotte
Lafferty
Last 6: Lizotte 6-0 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
52.4% (42)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lafferty
Home
44.2% (242)
47.8% (23)
Away
56.0% (234)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Lizotte
Lafferty
P1
49.6%
53.3%
P2
46.9%
55.6%
P3
52.6%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |