Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.6%). Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 64.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lizotte
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Lizotte
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
50.7% (144)
+2.8%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
50.0% (10)
-11.4%
On power play, Lafferty has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Lafferty
Home
52.0% (198)
53.2% (62)
Away
49.7% (149)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Lizotte
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
53.3%
P2
50.9%
46.7%
P3
52.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |