Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Nelson 49.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Horvat
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Horvat
Nelson
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Nelson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Nelson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
50.0% (694)
+6.4%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
56.3% (112)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
42.0% (143)
+2.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Horvat shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nelson
Home
58.8% (391)
50.4% (472)
Away
54.4% (353)
48.6% (477)
By Period
Horvat
Nelson
P1
61.2%
47.2%
P2
53.1%
53.4%
P3
55.1%
47.8%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |