Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Nelson 45.8% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Horvat
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
46.1% (735)
+7.4%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
34.5% (29)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
30.4% (23)
+20.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nelson
Home
54.2% (714)
48.7% (419)
Away
53.6% (705)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Horvat
Nelson
P1
53.5%
44.6%
P2
56.3%
47.3%
P3
53.5%
43.0%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%