Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Nelson 49.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 66.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Horvat
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Nelson
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.9% (840)
+5.7%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
52.8% (89)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
28.6% (35)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nelson
Home
58.8% (724)
49.8% (458)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Horvat
Nelson
P1
57.0%
50.1%
P2
57.5%
45.4%
P3
57.0%
52.7%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |