Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Nelson 51.9% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 53.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Horvat
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
51.3% (1,002)
+7.3%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
58.7% (126)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
51.9% (81)
-6.2%
On even strength, Horvat has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nelson
Home
59.2% (684)
52.5% (590)
Away
57.0% (635)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Horvat
Nelson
P1
57.9%
50.5%
P2
55.4%
54.4%
P3
61.5%
51.4%
OT
53.8%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%