Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Nelson 48.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Horvat
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Nelson
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Horvat
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Horvat
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
49.6% (347)
+3.1%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
20.8% (24)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
52.9% (17)
-13.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nelson
Home
53.1% (723)
52.9% (210)
Away
48.8% (770)
42.1% (178)
By Period
Horvat
Nelson
P1
51.1%
43.9%
P2
52.6%
48.1%
P3
48.8%
53.1%
OT
57.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | OT | 03:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 17, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |