Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Larkin 52.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Horvat
Larkin
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Horvat
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Horvat
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.8% (903)
+3.8%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
56.0% (225)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
47.4% (76)
+1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
58.8% (724)
55.6% (662)
Away
55.3% (751)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
57.0%
49.9%
P2
57.5%
52.7%
P3
57.0%
53.0%
OT
36.4%
68.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |