Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Larkin 54.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Horvat
Larkin
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
6
Horvat
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
52.6% (1,117)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
60.7% (305)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
55.9% (177)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
59.2% (684)
54.7% (783)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
57.9%
55.9%
P2
55.4%
56.1%
P3
61.5%
51.1%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |