Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Larkin 52.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Horvat
Larkin
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
51.7% (878)
+3.6%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
58.5% (246)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
48.2% (166)
-1.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
58.2% (469)
52.4% (647)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
59.6%
52.2%
P2
53.1%
53.1%
P3
55.5%
51.7%
OT
55.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |