Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Larkin 52.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 52-45 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
45
(97 meetings)
52
45
Horvat
Larkin
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
10
Horvat
Larkin
26 total
Defensive Zone
Even
21
21
Horvat
Larkin
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
15
14
Horvat
Larkin
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
51.7% (9,019)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
58.5% (2,125)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
50.2% (1,122)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
56.0% (8,355)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
54.4%
53.1%
P3
55.0%
52.1%
OT
49.6%
58.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |