Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Larkin 54.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 57.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Larkin
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.6% (886)
+1.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
59.3% (317)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
48.7% (152)
+3.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
59.8% (853)
56.6% (700)
Away
53.8% (832)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
55.0%
55.4%
P2
58.3%
54.7%
P3
57.8%
52.7%
OT
44.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |