Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Hertl 48.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Horvat
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Hertl
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Horvat
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
39.7% (58)
+12.4%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
60.0% (25)
-8.1%
On even strength, Horvat has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
53.1% (420)
52.6% (57)
Away
49.8% (428)
30.8% (26)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
52.4%
32.0%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |