Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Horvat
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Horvat
Hertl
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Horvat
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Horvat
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.6% (1,084)
+4.0%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
61.0% (246)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
44.1% (136)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
58.8% (724)
55.2% (696)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
57.0%
55.4%
P2
57.5%
54.8%
P3
57.0%
48.9%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |