Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Horvat
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Hertl
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Horvat
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
54.1% (717)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
61.9% (210)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
58.1% (31)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
59.2% (684)
58.1% (492)
Away
57.0% (635)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
57.9%
57.1%
P2
55.4%
54.0%
P3
61.5%
56.6%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |