Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Horvat
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Horvat
Hertl
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
7
Horvat
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Horvat
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
54.1% (1,117)
+0.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
59.8% (296)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
34.4% (32)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
59.8% (853)
54.3% (709)
Away
53.8% (832)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
55.0%
51.6%
P2
58.3%
53.6%
P3
57.8%
58.6%
OT
44.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | OT | 00:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |