Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Horvat
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Horvat
Hertl
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
2
Horvat
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Horvat
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
4
Horvat
Hertl
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
54.7% (570)
+1.6%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
55.2% (143)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
54.5% (77)
-5.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hertl
Home
57.3% (742)
56.2% (379)
Away
57.4% (741)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Horvat
Hertl
P1
59.0%
53.4%
P2
59.7%
52.7%
P3
53.6%
57.6%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |