Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Nelson 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 71.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Jenner
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Jenner
Nelson
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
50.7% (902)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
59.8% (169)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
48.3% (116)
-1.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nelson
Home
54.8% (586)
53.6% (603)
Away
55.5% (580)
49.9% (585)
By Period
Jenner
Nelson
P1
57.3%
55.4%
P2
52.5%
47.2%
P3
55.9%
52.6%
OT
54.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |