Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Nelson 49.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 84.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Jenner
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Jenner
Nelson
Last 10: Jenner 9-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
2
Jenner
Nelson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
49.9% (840)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
52.8% (89)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
28.6% (35)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nelson
Home
53.2% (609)
49.8% (458)
Away
54.0% (589)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Jenner
Nelson
P1
49.7%
50.1%
P2
53.6%
45.4%
P3
56.5%
52.7%
OT
65.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |