Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Nelson 45.8% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 74.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 88.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 75.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Jenner
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jenner
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
46.1% (735)
+8.4%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
34.5% (29)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
30.4% (23)
+16.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Jenner
Nelson
Home
52.9% (512)
48.7% (419)
Away
55.4% (601)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Jenner
Nelson
P1
55.0%
44.6%
P2
54.5%
47.3%
P3
53.6%
43.0%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |