Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (-16.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Marchand
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
52.6% (1,117)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
55.9% (177)
+19.1%
On even strength, Larkin has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Marchand
Larkin
Home
37.5% (8)
54.7% (783)
Away
40.0% (5)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Marchand
Larkin
P1
28.6%
55.9%
P2
40.0%
56.1%
P3
100.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%