Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +40.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.2% vs Larkin 52.4% (-40.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 62.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.5%
Neutral zone
Marchand 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Marchand
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchand
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Marchand
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
12.5% (8)
51.7% (878)
-39.2%
On even strength, Larkin has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Marchand is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Marchand shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Marchand
Larkin
Home
16.7% (6)
52.4% (647)
Away
0.0% (2)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Marchand
Larkin
P1
16.7%
52.2%
P2
0.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
12.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |