Brady Tkachuk vs Connor McDavid

Brady TkachukL vs Connor McDavidL
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tkachuk 50.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Tkachuk 90.0%
Defensive zone McDavid 81.7%
Neutral zone Tkachuk 50.1%
Result Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Tkachuk McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 7 (14 meetings)
7
7
Tkachuk McDavid
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Tkachuk McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
3
Tkachuk McDavid
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tkachuk
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
47.7% (8,358)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
52.0% (371)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.4% (279)
+1.6%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McDavid
Home
50.7% (1,428)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Tkachuk
McDavid
P1
49.4%
46.5%
P2
51.3%
48.7%
P3
49.3%
48.3%
OT
57.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 22, 2024 3 16:39 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Feb 11, 2023 2 07:56 Defensive Connor McDavid
Feb 11, 2023 2 02:17 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 31, 2022 3 12:00 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 15, 2022 3 18:09 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Jan 15, 2022 3 00:12 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 12, 2021 1 00:10 Neutral Brady Tkachuk
Mar 10, 2021 3 07:15 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 10, 2021 3 03:59 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 10, 2021 2 09:34 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Feb 9, 2021 2 03:53 Neutral Brady Tkachuk
Dec 4, 2019 1 00:27 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 23, 2019 2 04:06 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 23, 2019 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Tkachuk's Profile | McDavid's Profile