Brady Tkachuk vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Tkachuk
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Tkachuk
McDavid
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Tkachuk
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
3
Tkachuk
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
47.7% (8,358)
+1.3%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
52.0% (371)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.4% (279)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Tkachuk shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McDavid
Home
50.7% (1,428)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Tkachuk
McDavid
P1
49.4%
46.5%
P2
51.3%
48.7%
P3
49.3%
48.3%
OT
57.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |