Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs McDavid 51.0% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 88.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tkachuk
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.6% (803)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
50.0% (40)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.4% (22)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McDavid
Home
56.0% (175)
51.8% (415)
Away
49.8% (205)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Tkachuk
McDavid
P1
55.0%
47.5%
P2
51.9%
51.6%
P3
47.3%
55.5%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%