Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs McDavid 47.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 73.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 56.1%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Tkachuk
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
47.7% (715)
+3.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
51.9% (52)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McDavid
Home
50.0% (140)
47.3% (387)
Away
52.2% (207)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Tkachuk
McDavid
P1
54.3%
47.6%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |