Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Dowd 53.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 96.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 60.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Tkachuk
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tkachuk
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Tkachuk
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
55.4% (771)
-10.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
57.1% (7)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
45.5% (165)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dowd
Home
51.1% (233)
58.2% (462)
Away
49.0% (202)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dowd
P1
42.9%
55.6%
P2
52.2%
50.5%
P3
53.7%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |