Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Dowd 49.1% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 87.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Tkachuk
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
51.7% (644)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
0.0% (2)
+60.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.6% (221)
+58.4%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +60.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Dowd
Home
50.4% (121)
48.6% (451)
Away
67.3% (113)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Tkachuk
Dowd
P1
57.1%
49.1%
P2
60.0%
47.3%
P3
58.3%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%