Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Carrick 53.1% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Tkachuk
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
54.3% (346)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
66.7% (3)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.4% (31)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carrick
Home
52.9% (87)
59.0% (161)
Away
61.7% (60)
50.2% (219)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carrick
P1
61.0%
55.5%
P2
59.5%
51.2%
P3
52.4%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.9%