Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 88.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Tkachuk
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tkachuk
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Tkachuk
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
48.9% (352)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
81.3% (16)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.2% (45)
+57.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carrick
Home
51.1% (233)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.0% (202)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carrick
P1
42.9%
48.1%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
53.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |