Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Carrick 53.8% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 82.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 89.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Tkachuk
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
55.1% (439)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
66.7% (3)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.1% (53)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carrick
Home
50.4% (121)
58.2% (225)
Away
67.3% (113)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carrick
P1
57.1%
56.7%
P2
60.0%
52.8%
P3
58.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%