Brady Tkachuk vs Sam Carrick

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tkachuk 50.1% vs Carrick 52.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor Carrick leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Tkachuk 93.5%
Defensive zone Carrick 59.8%
Neutral zone Tkachuk 52.9%
Result Brady Tkachuk favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Tkachuk Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 7 (13 meetings)
6
7
Tkachuk Carrick
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Carrick

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
7
Tkachuk Carrick
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tkachuk
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,560)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,291)
61.3% (75)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.7% (430)
-5.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Carrick
Home
50.7% (1,428)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
49.5% (1,443)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Tkachuk
Carrick
P1
49.4%
51.8%
P2
51.3%
52.2%
P3
49.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%
60.5%
50.1%
Carrick
56.0%
56.0%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 8, 2025 2 00:38 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 24, 2024 3 16:48 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Mar 24, 2024 2 16:08 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 24, 2024 1 15:32 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 24, 2024 1 05:30 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 12, 2022 3 13:40 Defensive Sam Carrick
Dec 12, 2022 3 10:04 Defensive Sam Carrick
Dec 12, 2022 1 16:47 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Dec 12, 2022 1 10:10 Defensive Sam Carrick
Nov 25, 2022 3 10:40 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Jan 29, 2022 3 05:05 Offensive Brady Tkachuk
Jan 29, 2022 2 15:38 Defensive Sam Carrick
Jan 29, 2022 2 14:52 Defensive Sam Carrick